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Boosted

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$646.79
924 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
72.38%
94 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
12 openings · below min
7 days
66 openings · below min
30 days
94 openings · below min
since tracking started
94 openings · below min
12.5%72.8%133.0%

Small sample. 94 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1213.00%±0.00—sample
7d6687.85%±44.7—sample
30d9472.38%±33.0—sample
All9472.38%±33.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Medusa (Factory New)weapon · covert$647924 coins$5,4157,736 coins8.37x
AWP | Medusa (Factory New)weapon · covertKABZIMAL$647924 coins$5,4157,736 coins8.37x
AWP | The Prince (Factory New)weapon · covertdiganiga$647924 coins$3,3534,790 coins5.18x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covertich hab kleine d$647924 coins$2,9474,210 coins4.56x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$647924 coins$2,9474,210 coins4.56x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$647924 coins$2,9474,210 coins4.56x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$647924 coins$2,9474,210 coins4.56x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Knight (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$647924 coins$2,7433,918 coins4.24x
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New)weapon · classified$647924 coins$1,8792,684 coins2.90x
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New)weapon · classified$647924 coins$1,8792,684 coins2.90x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Souvenir Galil AR | Cerberus (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted$647924 coins$84.06120 coins0.13x
Souvenir Galil AR | Cerberus (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted$647924 coins$84.06120 coins0.13x
Souvenir Galil AR | Cerberus (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted$647924 coins$84.06120 coins0.13x
Souvenir Galil AR | Cerberus (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted$647924 coins$84.06120 coins0.13x
Souvenir Galil AR | Cerberus (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted$647924 coins$84.06120 coins0.13x
Souvenir Galil AR | Cerberus (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · RestrictedjoonXO$647924 coins$84.06120 coins0.13x
Souvenir Galil AR | Cerberus (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted$647924 coins$84.06120 coins0.13x
Souvenir Galil AR | Cerberus (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted$647924 coins$84.06120 coins0.13x
Souvenir Galil AR | Cerberus (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted$647924 coins$84.06120 coins0.13x
Souvenir Galil AR | Cerberus (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted$647924 coins$84.06120 coins0.13x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $5,415 (8.37x)