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Bouchonnoir

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$10.72
15.31 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
92.29%
100K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
102.21%±21.7111K openings
7 days
90.24%±7.2782.4K openings
30 days
92.29%±6.85100K openings
since tracking started
92.29%±6.85100K openings
80.0%102.3%124.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h11K102.21%±21.7—sample
7d82.4K90.24%±7.27—sample
30d100K92.29%±6.85—sample
All100K92.29%±6.85—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$10.7215.31 coins$7,54210,774 coins703.7x
Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkablehigh ko zmaj$10.7215.31 coins$7,54210,774 coins703.7x
Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$10.7215.31 coins$7,54210,774 coins703.7x
Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$10.7215.31 coins$7,54210,774 coins703.7x
Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$10.7215.31 coins$7,54210,774 coins703.7x
Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$10.7215.31 coins$7,54210,774 coins703.7x
Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$10.7215.31 coins$7,54210,774 coins703.7x
Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$10.7215.31 coins$7,54210,774 coins703.7x
Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$10.7215.31 coins$7,54210,774 coins703.7x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Covert$10.7215.31 coins$1,2071,724 coins112.6x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High Grade$10.7215.31 coins$0.280.4 coins0.03x
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High Grade$10.7215.31 coins$0.280.4 coins0.03x
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High Grade$10.7215.31 coins$0.280.4 coins0.03x
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High GradeHiccupplayz$10.7215.31 coins$0.280.4 coins0.03x
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High Grade$10.7215.31 coins$0.280.4 coins0.03x
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High Grade$10.7215.31 coins$0.280.4 coins0.03x
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High Grade$10.7215.31 coins$0.280.4 coins0.03x
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High Grade$10.7215.31 coins$0.280.4 coins0.03x
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High Grade$10.7215.31 coins$0.280.4 coins0.03x
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High Grade$10.7215.31 coins$0.280.4 coins0.03x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $7,542 (703.7x)