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Broken

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.52
0.75 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
91.41%
30.9K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
115.45%±46.063,410 openings
7 days
92.13%±10.7524.8K openings
30 days
91.41%±9.7030.9K openings
since tracking started
91.41%±9.7030.9K openings
68.5%115.3%162.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h3,410115.45%±46.1—sample
7d24.8K92.13%±10.7—sample
30d30.9K91.41%±9.70—sample
All30.9K91.41%±9.70—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Talon Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife$0.520.75 coins$300429 coins571.9x
★ Talon Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife$0.520.75 coins$300429 coins571.9x
★ Bayonet | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)knife · #ffd700$0.520.75 coins$212303 coins404.1x
★ Bayonet | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)knife · #ffd700$0.520.75 coins$212303 coins404.1x
★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert$0.520.75 coins$148211 coins281.6x
★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covertPandaBoy$0.520.75 coins$148211 coins281.6x
★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert$0.520.75 coins$148211 coins281.6x
★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert$0.520.75 coins$148211 coins281.6x
★ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)knife · covert$0.520.75 coins$102146 coins194.9x
★ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)knife · covert$0.520.75 coins$102146 coins194.9x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Souvenir MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.520.75 coins$0.050.07 coins0.09x
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Rust Coat (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$0.520.75 coins$0.510.73 coins0.97x
Souvenir MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.520.75 coins$0.050.07 coins0.09x
Souvenir MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.520.75 coins$0.050.07 coins0.09x
Souvenir MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.520.75 coins$0.050.07 coins0.09x
Souvenir MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer GradeSho0tah$0.520.75 coins$0.050.07 coins0.09x
Souvenir MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.520.75 coins$0.050.07 coins0.09x
Souvenir MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.520.75 coins$0.050.07 coins0.09x
Souvenir MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Gradearsus$0.520.75 coins$0.050.07 coins0.09x
Souvenir MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.520.75 coins$0.050.07 coins0.09x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $300 (571.9x)