Bubble Wrap

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$0.27

0.39 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

89.77%

60.4K openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

92.96%±12.909,029 openings

7 days

90.27%±5.4949.8K openings

30 days

89.77%±4.9560.4K openings

since tracking started

89.77%±4.9560.4K openings

79.5%93.0%106.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	9,029	92.96%±12.9	—	sample
7d	49.8K	90.27%±5.49	—	sample
30d	60.4K	89.77%±4.95	—	sample
All	60.4K	89.77%±4.95	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$0.270.39 coins$31.7445.34 coins116.3x2h

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covertGOD'S BERSERK$0.270.39 coins$31.7445.34 coins116.3x7h

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$0.270.39 coins$31.7445.34 coins116.3x7h

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$0.270.39 coins$31.7445.34 coins116.3x1d

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$0.270.39 coins$31.7445.34 coins116.3x1d

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$0.270.39 coins$31.7445.34 coins116.3x1d

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covertBadPlayer_x$0.270.39 coins$31.7445.34 coins116.3x1d

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$0.270.39 coins$31.7445.34 coins116.3x2d

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$0.270.39 coins$31.7445.34 coins116.3x2d

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$0.270.39 coins$31.7445.34 coins116.3x2d

Latest dropsnewest first

P250 | Facility Draft (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.270.39 coins$0.010.02 coins0.05x11m

P250 | Facility Draft (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.270.39 coins$0.010.02 coins0.05x11m

P250 | Facility Draft (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.270.39 coins$0.010.02 coins0.05x11m

Souvenir P2000 | Grassland (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$0.270.39 coins$3.585.11 coins13.10x11m

P90 | Chopper (Well-Worn)weapon · Restricted$0.270.39 coins$0.380.54 coins1.38x11m

P250 | Facility Draft (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.270.39 coins$0.010.02 coins0.05x11m

P250 | Facility Draft (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.270.39 coins$0.010.02 coins0.05x11m

P250 | Facility Draft (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.270.39 coins$0.010.02 coins0.05x11m

P250 | Facility Draft (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.270.39 coins$0.010.02 coins0.05x11m

MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$0.270.39 coins$0.150.22 coins0.56x11m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $31.74 (116.3x)