Cacao

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$13.53
19.33 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
81.29%
2,199 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
153 openings · below min
7 days
71.44%±8.631,770 openings
30 days
81.29%±10.102,199 openings
since tracking started
81.29%±10.102,199 openings
43.5%67.8%92.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h15363.34%±19.4—sample
7d1,77071.44%±8.63—sample
30d2,19981.29%±10.1—sample
All2,19981.29%±10.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert$13.5319.33 coins$585835 coins43.22x
★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$13.5319.33 coins$523747 coins38.67x

Latest dropsnewest first

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$13.5319.33 coins$64.9992.84 coins4.80x
M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon$13.5319.33 coins$1.832.62 coins0.14x
M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon$13.5319.33 coins$1.832.62 coins0.14x
M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon$13.5319.33 coins$1.832.62 coins0.14x
M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon$13.5319.33 coins$1.832.62 coins0.14x
M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon$13.5319.33 coins$1.832.62 coins0.14x
SG 553 | Traveler (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial$13.5319.33 coins$8.4612.08 coins0.62x
Sawed-Off | Rust Coat (Field-Tested)weapon · Industrial Grade$13.5319.33 coins$12.0017.14 coins0.89x
SG 553 | Traveler (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial$13.5319.33 coins$8.4612.08 coins0.62x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $585 (43.22x)