Cake
A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$190.69
272 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
86.53%
449 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 449 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinarySodiums$191272 coins$2,8354,051 coins14.87x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert$191272 coins$1,3671,953 coins7.17x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covertFybZ$191272 coins$1,3671,953 coins7.17x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert$191272 coins$1,3671,953 coins7.17x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert$191272 coins$1,3671,953 coins7.17x
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$191272 coins$38.0454.34 coins0.20x
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert$191272 coins$246352 coins1.29x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covertKick/TheGodMode$191272 coins$67.8296.88 coins0.36x
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$191272 coins$38.0454.34 coins0.20x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $2,835 (14.87x)