Carrot Patch

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$41.66

59.52 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

80.48%

859 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

97 openings · below min

7 days

632 openings · below min

30 days

859 openings · below min

since tracking started

859 openings · below min

37.5%81.3%125.0%

Small sample. 859 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	97	81.10%±43.0	—	sample
7d	632	80.88%±19.4	—	sample
30d	859	80.48%±17.1	—	sample
All	859	80.48%±17.1	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$41.6659.52 coins$8711,244 coins20.90x4d

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$41.6659.52 coins$8711,244 coins20.90x8d

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$41.6659.52 coins$7811,115 coins18.74x7d

★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$41.6659.52 coins$7531,076 coins18.07x4d

★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$41.6659.52 coins$7531,076 coins18.07x5d

★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$41.6659.52 coins$7531,076 coins18.07x6d

★ Moto Gloves | POW! (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$41.6659.52 coins$504721 coins12.11x2h

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Sticker | Orange Gnarsticker · High Grade$41.6659.52 coins$0.170.24 coins0.00x54m

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · epic$41.6659.52 coins$414592 coins9.95x54m

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Factory New)gloves · Extraordinary$41.6659.52 coins$303432 coins7.26x54m

AK-47 | Green Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · blue$41.6659.52 coins$29.0241.45 coins0.70x54m

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$41.6659.52 coins$1.802.57 coins0.04x54m

StatTrak™ USP-S | Orion (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6$41.6659.52 coins$133191 coins3.20x54m

Sticker | Orange Gnarsticker · High Grade$41.6659.52 coins$0.170.24 coins0.00x54m

CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$41.6659.52 coins$56.6680.94 coins1.36x54m

Sticker | Orange Gnarsticker · High Grade$41.6659.52 coins$0.170.24 coins0.00x54m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $871 (20.90x)