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Casket

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$34.45
49.22 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
94.72%
1,967 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
196 openings · below min
7 days
94.49%±9.131,651 openings
30 days
94.72%±8.281,967 openings
since tracking started
94.72%±8.281,967 openings
79.5%112.0%144.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h196112.16%±31.9—sample
7d1,65194.49%±9.13—sample
30d1,96794.72%±8.28—sample
All1,96794.72%±8.28—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$34.4549.22 coins$561801 coins16.28x
AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertSOBE$34.4549.22 coins$561801 coins16.28x
AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$34.4549.22 coins$561801 coins16.28x
AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$34.4549.22 coins$561801 coins16.28x
AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$34.4549.22 coins$561801 coins16.28x
AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$34.4549.22 coins$561801 coins16.28x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$34.4549.22 coins$505722 coins14.67x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$34.4549.22 coins$505722 coins14.67x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knifeDrFaruq$34.4549.22 coins$505722 coins14.67x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$34.4549.22 coins$505722 coins14.67x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
SSG 08 | Death's Head (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$34.4549.22 coins$7.0110.02 coins0.20x
Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike (Factory New)weapon · classified$34.4549.22 coins$48.4769.25 coins1.41x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · pink$34.4549.22 coins$32.4846.4 coins0.94x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$34.4549.22 coins$505722 coins14.67x
Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike (Factory New)weapon · classified$34.4549.22 coins$48.4769.25 coins1.41x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$34.4549.22 coins$18.3926.27 coins0.53x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$34.4549.22 coins$18.3926.27 coins0.53x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$34.4549.22 coins$18.3926.27 coins0.53x
G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Factory New)weapon · industrial$34.4549.22 coins$3.164.52 coins0.09x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · pink$34.4549.22 coins$32.4846.4 coins0.94x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $561 (16.28x)