Price
$209.73
300 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
95.87%
462 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 462 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$210300 coins$2,8844,121 coins13.75x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$210300 coins$2,8844,121 coins13.75x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covertKABZIMAL$210300 coins$2,8844,121 coins13.75x
★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinarySodiumsCS$210300 coins$1,9062,722 coins9.09x
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$210300 coins$37.8354.05 coins0.18x
Souvenir P2000 | Chainmail (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$210300 coins$8.4412.05 coins0.04x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covertMr.Yodoc$210300 coins$103147 coins0.49x
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$210300 coins$37.8354.05 coins0.18x
Souvenir P2000 | Chainmail (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$210300 coins$8.4412.05 coins0.04x
Souvenir P2000 | Chainmail (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec GradeMr.Yodoc$210300 coins$8.4412.05 coins0.04x
Souvenir P2000 | Chainmail (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$210300 coins$8.4412.05 coins0.04x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $2,884 (13.75x)