Chandelier

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$209.73
300 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
95.87%
462 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
20 openings · below min
7 days
339 openings · below min
30 days
462 openings · below min
since tracking started
462 openings · below min
18.5%67.3%116.0%

Small sample. 462 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2040.84%±21.9—sample
7d33995.31%±20.0—sample
30d46295.87%±17.9—sample
All46295.87%±17.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · covert$210300 coins$2,3873,410 coins11.38x
AWP | The Prince (Well-Worn)weapon · legendary$210300 coins$2,0582,939 coins9.81x
AWP | The Prince (Well-Worn)weapon · legendaryADDICTED$210300 coins$2,0582,939 coins9.81x
★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$210300 coins$1,9062,722 coins9.09x
★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$210300 coins$1,9062,722 coins9.09x

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,884 (13.75x)