Charisma

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$282.79
404 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
87.02%
297 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
26 openings · below min
7 days
188 openings · below min
30 days
297 openings · below min
since tracking started
297 openings · below min
18.0%84.7%151.5%

Small sample. 297 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2684.75%±66.3—sample
7d18889.02%±24.6—sample
30d29787.02%±19.2—sample
All29787.02%±19.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$283404 coins$1,6672,382 coins5.90x
★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$283404 coins$1,6672,382 coins5.90x
★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$283404 coins$1,6672,382 coins5.90x
★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$283404 coins$1,6672,382 coins5.90x
★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$283404 coins$1,6672,382 coins5.90x
★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$283404 coins$1,6672,382 coins5.90x
★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$283404 coins$1,6672,382 coins5.90x
★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$283404 coins$1,6672,382 coins5.90x
★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$283404 coins$1,6672,382 coins5.90x

Latest dropsnewest first

P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$283404 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$283404 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$283404 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
AWP | Fade (Factory New)weapon · covert$283404 coins$1,0111,445 coins3.58x
P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$283404 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert$283404 coins$1,1671,667 coins4.13x
MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$283404 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$283404 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$283404 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$283404 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,667 (5.90x)