Cheddarbob
A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$14.62
20.88 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
84.81%
7,717 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Souvenir M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$14.6220.88 coins$1,9202,743 coins131.4x
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covertMadBro ⚡$14.6220.88 coins$42.3160.44 coins2.89x
Sticker | GODSENT (Holo) | Atlanta 2017sticker · remarkableMadBro ⚡$14.6220.88 coins$25.5836.54 coins1.75x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $6,454 (441.6x)