Cheesy

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$5.54
7.92 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
97.14%
4,796 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
409 openings · below min
7 days
93.98%±9.463,938 openings
30 days
97.14%±8.584,796 openings
since tracking started
97.14%±8.584,796 openings
65.0%93.3%121.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h40993.21%±27.7—sample
7d3,93893.98%±9.46—sample
30d4,79697.14%±8.58—sample
All4,79697.14%±8.58—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical$5.547.92 coins$0.280.4 coins0.05x
Paris 2023 Challengers Autograph Capsulecontainer · Base Grade$5.547.92 coins$0.150.22 coins0.03x
Paris 2023 Challengers Autograph Capsulecontainer · Base Grade$5.547.92 coins$0.150.22 coins0.03x
Sealed Graffiti | King Me (Tracer Yellow)graffiti · Common$5.547.92 coins$0.030.04 coins0.01x
Paris 2023 Challengers Autograph Capsulecontainer · Base Grade$5.547.92 coins$0.150.22 coins0.03x
Paris 2023 Challengers Autograph Capsulecontainer · Base Grade$5.547.92 coins$0.150.22 coins0.03x
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical$5.547.92 coins$0.280.4 coins0.05x
FAMAS | Neural Net (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$5.547.92 coins$0.610.87 coins0.11x
Sticker | MOUZ (Gold) | Rio 2022sticker · red$5.547.92 coins$6.499.27 coins1.17x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $338 (60.94x)