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Chemistry

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$12.76
18.23 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
94.01%
8,945 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
74.78%±21.681,274 openings
7 days
94.52%±11.067,540 openings
30 days
94.01%±9.978,945 openings
since tracking started
94.01%±9.978,945 openings
52.5%79.3%106.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,27474.78%±21.7—sample
7d7,54094.52%±11.1—sample
30d8,94594.01%±9.97—sample
All8,94594.01%±9.97—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Covert$12.7618.23 coins$7741,106 coins60.66x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 4Halacska51#TeamFilip$12.7618.23 coins$7741,106 coins60.66x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · CovertLoula$12.7618.23 coins$7741,106 coins60.66x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Covert$12.7618.23 coins$7741,106 coins60.66x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 4$12.7618.23 coins$7741,106 coins60.66x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 4MadBro ⚡$12.7618.23 coins$7741,106 coins60.66x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 4eric cartman69$12.7618.23 coins$7741,106 coins60.66x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 4$12.7618.23 coins$7741,106 coins60.66x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 4$12.7618.23 coins$7741,106 coins60.66x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Covert$12.7618.23 coins$7741,106 coins60.66x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
FAMAS | Meltdown (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$12.7618.23 coins$38.9055.57 coins3.05x
Souvenir Tec-9 | Toxic (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$12.7618.23 coins$12.0317.18 coins0.94x
SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$12.7618.23 coins$0.500.71 coins0.04x
SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$12.7618.23 coins$0.500.71 coins0.04x
SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$12.7618.23 coins$0.500.71 coins0.04x
SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$12.7618.23 coins$0.500.71 coins0.04x
StatTrak™ USP-S | Serum (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$12.7618.23 coins$63.8391.18 coins5.00x
SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested)weapon · light blue$12.7618.23 coins$1.412.02 coins0.11x
SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$12.7618.23 coins$0.500.71 coins0.04x
SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$12.7618.23 coins$0.500.71 coins0.04x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $774 (60.66x)