Circuit
A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$83.04
119 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
96.90%
879 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 879 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · Knives · Emerald$83.04119 coins$1,4072,009 coins16.94x
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · Knives · Emerald$83.04119 coins$1,4072,009 coins16.94x
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$83.04119 coins$8791,256 coins10.58x
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$83.04119 coins$8791,256 coins10.58x
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$83.04119 coins$8791,256 coins10.58x
Latest dropsnewest first
Sawed-Off | Limelight (Factory New)weapon · restricteddani-c4c16e$83.04119 coins$8.5512.21 coins0.10x
★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4$83.04119 coins$243347 coins2.93x
CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil specBulletJackpotOnKick$83.04119 coins$61.9388.47 coins0.75x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $2,728 (32.85x)