Citadel
A case on Rain.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$490.00
700 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
83.91%
182 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 182 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphiretwitch.tv/MrBarnee$490700 coins$6,3759,107 coins13.01x
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$490700 coins$4,4906,414 coins9.16x
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$490700 coins$4,4906,414 coins9.16x
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$490700 coins$4,4906,414 coins9.16x
Souvenir M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$490700 coins$1,8012,574 coins3.68x
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$490700 coins$118168 coins0.24x
StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$490700 coins$0.981.4 coins0.00x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$490700 coins$118168 coins0.24x
StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$490700 coins$0.981.4 coins0.00x
StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$490700 coins$0.981.4 coins0.00x
★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$490700 coins$327467 coins0.67x
StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$490700 coins$0.981.4 coins0.00x
★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$490700 coins$327467 coins0.67x
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knifebradbeloved$490700 coins$179255 coins0.36x
StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$490700 coins$0.981.4 coins0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $6,375 (13.01x)