Price
$294.65
421 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
103.96%
163 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 163 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Covert$295421 coins$1,7372,481 coins5.89x
★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · epicTivuhwrldlovesbbc$295421 coins$1,6952,421 coins5.75x
★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)knife · covertDameTime619$295421 coins$9031,290 coins3.07x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Survival Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knifeswerve$295421 coins$123176 coins0.42x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $4,261 (14.46x)