Coconut

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$2,632.66
3,761 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
87.42%
92 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
60 openings · below min
30 days
92 openings · below min
since tracking started
92 openings · below min
2.5%69.0%135.5%

Small sample. 92 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h64.49%±1.57—sample
7d6061.39%±35.6—sample
30d9287.42%±47.3—sample
All9287.42%±47.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New)gloves · legendary$2,6333,761 coins$46.9K66,946 coins17.80x
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$2,6333,761 coins$14.5K20,674 coins5.50x
AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert$2,6333,761 coins$12.4K17,701 coins4.71x
AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert$2,6333,761 coins$12.4K17,701 coins4.71x
AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert$2,6333,761 coins$12.4K17,701 coins4.71x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$2,6333,761 coins$11K15,653 coins4.16x
★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert$2,6333,761 coins$6,0648,664 coins2.30x

Latest dropsnewest first

AK-47 | The Outsiders (Factory New)weapon · rare$2,6333,761 coins$105150 coins0.04x
AK-47 | Panthera onca (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$2,6333,761 coins$176252 coins0.07x
AK-47 | The Outsiders (Factory New)weapon · rare$2,6333,761 coins$105150 coins0.04x
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)weapon · classified$2,6333,761 coins$40.6158.01 coins0.02x
AK-47 | Panthera onca (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$2,6333,761 coins$176252 coins0.07x
AK-47 | The Outsiders (Factory New)weapon · rare$2,6333,761 coins$105150 coins0.04x
AK-47 | Panthera onca (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$2,6333,761 coins$176252 coins0.07x
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)weapon · classified$2,6333,761 coins$40.6158.01 coins0.02x
AK-47 | The Outsiders (Factory New)weapon · rare$2,6333,761 coins$105150 coins0.04x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $46.9K (17.80x)