Configuration

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$720.95

1,030 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

83.51%

398 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

76 openings · below min

7 days

306 openings · below min

30 days

398 openings · below min

since tracking started

398 openings · below min

62.5%78.5%94.5%

Small sample. 398 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	76	78.64%±15.4	—	sample
7d	306	82.15%±7.83	—	sample
30d	398	83.51%±6.96	—	sample
All	398	83.51%±6.96	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$7211,030 coins$3,2154,593 coins4.46x2d

★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)knife · covert · EmeraldDameTime619$7211,030 coins$3,2154,593 coins4.46x8d

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Factory New)gloves · legendary$7211,030 coins$2,6273,752 coins3.64x4h

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Factory New)gloves · legendary$7211,030 coins$2,6273,752 coins3.64x6d

AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$7211,030 coins$1,8102,586 coins2.51x1d

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$7211,030 coins$1,4042,006 coins1.95x4h

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphirew1seman$7211,030 coins$1,4042,006 coins1.95x4h

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$7211,030 coins$1,4042,006 coins1.95x1d

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$7211,030 coins$1,4042,006 coins1.95x2d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$7211,030 coins$140200 coins0.19x3h

M4A1-S | Master Piece (Factory New)weapon · classified$7211,030 coins$639913 coins0.89x3h

StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient$7211,030 coins$295421 coins0.41x3h

★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$7211,030 coins$8431,204 coins1.17x3h

Galil AR | Cerberus (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$7211,030 coins$54.6478.05 coins0.08x3h

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · EmeraldLobanjica$7211,030 coins$1,2151,736 coins1.69x3h

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$7211,030 coins$1,2151,736 coins1.69x3h

M4A1-S | Master Piece (Factory New)weapon · classified$7211,030 coins$639913 coins0.89x3h

StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient$7211,030 coins$295421 coins0.41x3h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $3,215 (4.46x)