Price
$22.04
31.48 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
107.07%
884 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 884 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Music Kit | Midnight Riders, All I Want for Christmasmusic kit · high$22.0431.48 coins$4.726.74 coins0.21x
Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Factory New)weapon · industrial$22.0431.48 coins$22.0531.5 coins1.00x
★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife$22.0431.48 coins$66.5095 coins3.02x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert$22.0431.48 coins$19.9528.5 coins0.91x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $1,000 (45.40x)