Dark Skies

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$22.04
31.48 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
107.07%
884 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
53 openings · below min
7 days
662 openings · below min
30 days
884 openings · below min
since tracking started
884 openings · below min
29.5%80.8%132.0%

Small sample. 884 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h5364.04%±33.7—sample
7d662105.69%±25.6—sample
30d884107.07%±22.4—sample
All884107.07%±22.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Factory New)knife · covert$22.0431.48 coins$1,0001,429 coins45.40x
★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Factory New)knife · covert$22.0431.48 coins$1,0001,429 coins45.40x
★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Factory New)knife · covert$22.0431.48 coins$1,0001,429 coins45.40x
★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Factory New)knife · covert$22.0431.48 coins$1,0001,429 coins45.40x

Latest dropsnewest first

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon$22.0431.48 coins$2.974.25 coins0.14x
Desert Eagle | Night Heist (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$22.0431.48 coins$10.1914.55 coins0.46x
AUG | Midnight Lily (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted$22.0431.48 coins$171245 coins7.77x
Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Factory New)weapon · industrial$22.0431.48 coins$22.0531.5 coins1.00x
Sticker | Blood Moon Wave Ridersticker · High Grade$22.0431.48 coins$0.360.52 coins0.02x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert$22.0431.48 coins$19.9528.5 coins0.91x
Desert Eagle | Night (Factory New)weapon · industrial$22.0431.48 coins$52.7975.42 coins2.40x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,000 (45.40x)