Delivery
A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$49.05
70.07 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
100.06%
2,343 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · Covertcraz-275372$49.0570.07 coins$3,0564,366 coins62.31x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert$49.0570.07 coins$2,1533,076 coins43.90x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert$49.0570.07 coins$2,1533,076 coins43.90x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covertbswrxsti$49.0570.07 coins$2,1533,076 coins43.90x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert$49.0570.07 coins$2,1533,076 coins43.90x
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert$49.0570.07 coins$48.2668.94 coins0.98x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert$49.0570.07 coins$48.2668.94 coins0.98x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $3,920 (79.93x)