Demon

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$466.66
667 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
104.63%
131 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
10 openings · below min
7 days
123 openings · below min
30 days
131 openings · below min
since tracking started
131 openings · below min
-0.5%155.3%311.0%

Small sample. 131 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h10145.21%±165.1—sample
7d123108.02%±26.2—sample
30d131104.63%±24.9—sample
All131104.63%±24.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$467667 coins$4,0145,735 coins8.60x
AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$467667 coins$2,5273,610 coins5.42x
AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$467667 coins$2,5273,610 coins5.42x
AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$467667 coins$2,5273,610 coins5.42x
AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$467667 coins$2,5273,610 coins5.42x
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New)weapon · classified$467667 coins$1,5562,223 coins3.33x
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New)weapon · classified$467667 coins$1,5562,223 coins3.33x
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New)weapon · classified$467667 coins$1,5562,223 coins3.33x
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New)weapon · classified$467667 coins$1,5562,223 coins3.33x
★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Field-Tested)gloves · epic$467667 coins$1,3201,886 coins2.83x

Latest dropsnewest first

M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New)weapon · #eb4b4b$467667 coins$7291,041 coins1.56x
Sticker | Baited (Holo)sticker · #8847ff$467667 coins$0.701 coins0.00x
Sticker | Baited (Holo)sticker · #8847ff$467667 coins$0.701 coins0.00x
Sticker | Baited (Holo)sticker · #8847ff$467667 coins$0.701 coins0.00x
Sticker | Baited (Holo)sticker · #8847ff$467667 coins$0.701 coins0.00x
★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$467667 coins$1,2211,744 coins2.62x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$467667 coins$4,0145,735 coins8.60x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $4,014 (8.60x)