Dig Deep

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$147.04
210 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
102.60%
965 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
130 openings · below min
7 days
702 openings · below min
30 days
965 openings · below min
since tracking started
965 openings · below min
48.5%87.3%126.0%

Small sample. 965 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h13079.82%±30.6—sample
7d702104.67%±20.6—sample
30d965102.60%±16.7—sample
All965102.60%±16.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Well-Worn)weapon · covertjoonXO$147210 coins$4,0145,735 coins27.30x
AWP | The Prince (Factory New)weapon · covert$147210 coins$3,3494,784 coins22.77x
M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified$147210 coins$2,6663,809 coins18.13x
M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified$147210 coins$2,6663,809 coins18.13x
AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertjoonXO$147210 coins$2,4703,529 coins16.80x
★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$147210 coins$2,3083,297 coins15.70x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)weapon · legendary$147210 coins$2,0842,978 coins14.18x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)weapon · legendary$147210 coins$2,0842,978 coins14.18x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)weapon · legendary$147210 coins$2,0842,978 coins14.18x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)weapon · legendary$147210 coins$2,0842,978 coins14.18x

Latest dropsnewest first

AWP | PAW (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$147210 coins$0.941.35 coins0.01x
★ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)knife · Covert$147210 coins$317453 coins2.16x
AK-47 | Uncharted (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$147210 coins$0.210.3 coins0.00x
AWP | PAW (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$147210 coins$0.941.35 coins0.01x
★ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)knife · Covert$147210 coins$317453 coins2.16x
★ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)knife · Covert$147210 coins$317453 coins2.16x
AWP | PAW (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$147210 coins$0.941.35 coins0.01x
AK-47 | Uncharted (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$147210 coins$0.210.3 coins0.00x
AWP | PAW (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$147210 coins$0.941.35 coins0.01x
AWP | PAW (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$147210 coins$0.941.35 coins0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $4,014 (27.30x)