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Earthquake

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$79.72
114 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
87.00%
449 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
10 openings · below min
7 days
370 openings · below min
30 days
449 openings · below min
since tracking started
449 openings · below min
20.5%72.8%125.0%

Small sample. 449 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1072.58%±51.6—sample
7d37085.25%±12.2—sample
30d44987.00%±11.0—sample
All44987.00%±11.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

SSG 08 | Death Strike (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$79.72114 coins$648926 coins8.13x
★ Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$79.72114 coins$504720 coins6.32x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Brass (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$79.72114 coins$96.79138 coins1.21x
★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$79.72114 coins$192275 coins2.41x
Souvenir P90 | Schematic (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$79.72114 coins$1.402 coins0.02x
Souvenir P90 | Schematic (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$79.72114 coins$1.402 coins0.02x
★ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert$79.72114 coins$87.46125 coins1.10x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knifeFybZ$79.72114 coins$98.07140 coins1.23x
Souvenir P90 | Schematic (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$79.72114 coins$1.402 coins0.02x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$79.72114 coins$98.07140 coins1.23x
AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$79.72114 coins$0.911.3 coins0.01x
AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil specHEAVYISTHECROWN$79.72114 coins$0.911.3 coins0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $648 (8.13x)