Elder
A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$10.64
15.2 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
82.74%
8,237 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Sapphire$10.6415.2 coins$1,9312,758 coins181.5x
★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$10.6415.2 coins$8501,214 coins79.84x
★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$10.6415.2 coins$8501,214 coins79.84x
★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$10.6415.2 coins$8501,214 coins79.84x
★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$10.6415.2 coins$8501,214 coins79.84x
★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$10.6415.2 coins$8501,214 coins79.84x
★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$10.6415.2 coins$8501,214 coins79.84x
★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$10.6415.2 coins$8501,214 coins79.84x
★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$10.6415.2 coins$8501,214 coins79.84x
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ P250 | Undertow (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary$10.6415.2 coins$44.5563.64 coins4.19x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $2,192 (206.0x)