Elemental
A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$16.72
23.89 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
91.98%
1,419 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$16.7223.89 coins$26.1037.28 coins1.56x
R8 Revolver | Phoenix Marker (Minimal Wear)weapon · Industrial Grade$16.7223.89 coins$2.814.02 coins0.17x
StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$16.7223.89 coins$6.349.05 coins0.38x
R8 Revolver | Phoenix Marker (Minimal Wear)weapon · Industrial Grademvip$16.7223.89 coins$2.814.02 coins0.17x
R8 Revolver | Phoenix Marker (Minimal Wear)weapon · Industrial Grade$16.7223.89 coins$2.814.02 coins0.17x
Souvenir FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$16.7223.89 coins$58.2883.25 coins3.48x
StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$16.7223.89 coins$26.1037.28 coins1.56x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit —