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A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$102.42
146 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
88.36%
4,786 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
624 openings · below min
7 days
89.90%±12.813,938 openings
30 days
88.36%±11.374,786 openings
since tracking started
88.36%±11.374,786 openings
63.0%99.3%135.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h62499.22%±35.6—sample
7d3,93889.90%±12.8—sample
30d4,78688.36%±11.4—sample
All4,78688.36%±11.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Medusa (Factory New)weapon · covert$102146 coins$5,4157,736 coins52.87x
AWP | Medusa (Factory New)weapon · covert$102146 coins$5,4157,736 coins52.87x
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)gloves · legendary$102146 coins$4,2936,133 coins41.92x
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)gloves · legendary$102146 coins$4,2936,133 coins41.92x
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)gloves · legendary$102146 coins$4,2936,133 coins41.92x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New)weapon · covert$102146 coins$3,3484,783 coins32.69x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New)weapon · covert$102146 coins$3,3484,783 coins32.69x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New)weapon · covert$102146 coins$3,3484,783 coins32.69x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New)weapon · covert$102146 coins$3,3484,783 coins32.69x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New)weapon · covert$102146 coins$3,3484,783 coins32.69x

Latest dropsnewest first

Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New)weapon · restricted$102146 coins$1.171.67 coins0.01x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New)weapon · restricted$102146 coins$1.171.67 coins0.01x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New)weapon · restricted$102146 coins$1.171.67 coins0.01x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New)weapon · restricted$102146 coins$1.171.67 coins0.01x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New)weapon · restricted$102146 coins$1.171.67 coins0.01x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New)weapon · restricted$102146 coins$1.171.67 coins0.01x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New)weapon · restricted$102146 coins$1.171.67 coins0.01x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New)weapon · restricted$102146 coins$1.171.67 coins0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $5,415 (52.87x)