Fabric

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$525.01
750 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
67.34%
368 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
24 openings · below min
7 days
340 openings · below min
30 days
368 openings · below min
since tracking started
368 openings · below min
-0.5%73.5%147.5%

Small sample. 368 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2468.63%±78.4—sample
7d34067.08%±17.7—sample
30d36867.34%±16.7—sample
All36867.34%±16.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested)weapon · contraband$525750 coins$5,0387,197 coins9.60x
M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested)weapon · contraband$525750 coins$5,0387,197 coins9.60x
M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested)weapon · contraband$525750 coins$5,0387,197 coins9.60x
M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified$525750 coins$3,9825,689 coins7.58x
M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified$525750 coins$3,9825,689 coins7.58x

Latest dropsnewest first

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$525750 coins$69.5299.32 coins0.13x
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$525750 coins$69.5299.32 coins0.13x
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$525750 coins$69.5299.32 coins0.13x
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$525750 coins$69.5299.32 coins0.13x
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$525750 coins$69.5299.32 coins0.13x
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$525750 coins$69.5299.32 coins0.13x
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$525750 coins$69.5299.32 coins0.13x
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$525750 coins$69.5299.32 coins0.13x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $7,023 (13.38x)