Fight Night

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$700.84

1,001 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

94.07%

5,188 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

202 openings · below min

7 days

94.54%±9.694,820 openings

30 days

94.07%±9.275,188 openings

since tracking started

94.07%±9.275,188 openings

52.0%108.5%165.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	202	108.48%±56.0	—	sample
7d	4,820	94.54%±9.69	—	sample
30d	5,188	94.07%±9.27	—	sample
All	5,188	94.07%±9.27	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$7011,001 coins$31K44,288 coins44.24x1d

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryjack.com$7011,001 coins$31K44,288 coins44.24x1d

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$7011,001 coins$31K44,288 coins44.24x1d

★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$7011,001 coins$22.8K32,546 coins32.51x14h

★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$7011,001 coins$22.8K32,546 coins32.51x1d

★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryjack.com$7011,001 coins$22.8K32,546 coins32.51x1d

★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$7011,001 coins$22.8K32,546 coins32.51x1d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Sticker | rain (Gold, Champion) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Extraordinary$7011,001 coins$5.888.4 coins0.01x33m

Sticker | rain | London 2018sticker · High Grade$7011,001 coins$1.301.85 coins0.00x33m

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$7011,001 coins$10.8K15,471 coins15.45x33m

Sticker | rain (Gold, Champion) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Extraordinary$7011,001 coins$5.888.4 coins0.01x33m

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$7011,001 coins$10.8K15,471 coins15.45x33m

Sticker | rain | London 2018sticker · High Grade$7011,001 coins$1.301.85 coins0.00x33m

Sticker | rain | Katowice 2019sticker · High Grade$7011,001 coins$0.891.27 coins0.00x33m

Sticker | rain | London 2018sticker · High Gradebradbeloved$7011,001 coins$1.301.85 coins0.00x33m

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary$7011,001 coins$2,5463,637 coins3.63x43m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $31K (44.24x)