Fireworks

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.47
0.67 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
90.94%
82K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
88.34%±11.987,498 openings
7 days
91.15%±4.2164.1K openings
30 days
90.94%±3.7182K openings
since tracking started
90.94%±3.7182K openings
75.5%88.3%101.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h7,49888.34%±12.0—sample
7d64.1K91.15%±4.21—sample
30d82K90.94%±3.71—sample
All82K90.94%±3.71—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Electric Hive (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$0.470.67 coins$33.1947.41 coins70.76x
AWP | Electric Hive (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$0.470.67 coins$33.1947.41 coins70.76x
AWP | Electric Hive (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$0.470.67 coins$33.1947.41 coins70.76x
AWP | Electric Hive (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$0.470.67 coins$33.1947.41 coins70.76x
AWP | Electric Hive (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$0.470.67 coins$33.1947.41 coins70.76x
AWP | Electric Hive (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$0.470.67 coins$33.1947.41 coins70.76x
AWP | Electric Hive (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$0.470.67 coins$33.1947.41 coins70.76x
AWP | Electric Hive (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$0.470.67 coins$33.1947.41 coins70.76x

Latest dropsnewest first

MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.470.67 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.470.67 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.470.67 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.470.67 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.470.67 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $33.19 (70.76x)