Fizzy

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$2,074.23
2,963 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
99.10%
12 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
12 openings · below min
7 days
12 openings · below min
30 days
12 openings · below min
since tracking started
12 openings · below min
7.5%99.0%190.5%

Small sample. 12 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1299.10%±90.8—sample
7d1299.10%±90.8—sample
30d1299.10%±90.8—sample
All1299.10%±90.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$2,0742,963 coins$10.6K15,166 coins5.12x
Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014sticker · high$2,0742,963 coins$6,2668,952 coins3.02x
Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$2,0742,963 coins$4,2466,065 coins2.05x
Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Factory New)weapon · restricted$2,0742,963 coins$619885 coins0.30x

Latest dropsnewest first

Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Factory New)weapon · restricted$2,0742,963 coins$619885 coins0.30x
Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$2,0742,963 coins$4,2466,065 coins2.05x
M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$2,0742,963 coins$118169 coins0.06x
M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$2,0742,963 coins$118169 coins0.06x
Sticker | s1mple (Gold) | Katowice 2019sticker · extraordinary$2,0742,963 coins$305435 coins0.15x
M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$2,0742,963 coins$118169 coins0.06x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$2,0742,963 coins$10.6K15,166 coins5.12x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $10.6K (5.12x)