Fossil

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$106.21

152 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

92.83%

3,063 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

471 openings · below min

7 days

93.95%±18.782,737 openings

30 days

92.83%±18.103,063 openings

since tracking started

92.83%±18.103,063 openings

57.5%88.5%119.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	471	88.27%±30.4	—	sample
7d	2,737	93.95%±18.8	—	sample
30d	3,063	92.83%±18.1	—	sample
All	3,063	92.83%±18.1	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$106152 coins$11K15,655 coins103.2x4d

AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$106152 coins$11K15,655 coins103.2x6d

AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$106152 coins$11K15,655 coins103.2x8d

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · contraband$106152 coins$6,7669,666 coins63.71x3d

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · contraband$106152 coins$6,7669,666 coins63.71x6d

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$106152 coins$5,8348,335 coins54.93x17h

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$106152 coins$5,8348,335 coins54.93x2d

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$106152 coins$5,8348,335 coins54.93x4d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$106152 coins$83.07119 coins0.78x12m

MP9 | Dry Season (Factory New)weapon · consumer$106152 coins$53.9077 coins0.51x12m

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert$106152 coins$116166 coins1.09x12m

SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Field-Tested)weapon · blue$106152 coins$19.3727.67 coins0.18x12m

Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New)weapon · restrictedswerve$106152 coins$574820 coins5.40x12m

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$106152 coins$83.07119 coins0.78x14m

MP9 | Dry Season (Factory New)weapon · consumer$106152 coins$53.9077 coins0.51x14m

SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Field-Tested)weapon · blue$106152 coins$19.3727.67 coins0.18x14m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $11K (103.2x)