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Framed

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$54.08
77.26 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
87.85%
3,144 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
208 openings · below min
7 days
88.37%±8.872,850 openings
30 days
87.85%±8.453,144 openings
since tracking started
87.85%±8.453,144 openings
38.0%68.0%98.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h20863.57%±24.9—sample
7d2,85088.37%±8.87—sample
30d3,14487.85%±8.45—sample
All3,14487.85%±8.45—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Talon Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$54.0877.26 coins$1,1901,700 coins22.00x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classified$54.0877.26 coins$1,0821,546 coins20.01x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classifiedMr.Köster$54.0877.26 coins$1,0821,546 coins20.01x
★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Factory New)gloves · legendaryBig Crypt$54.0877.26 coins$1,0151,449 coins18.76x
★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Factory New)gloves · legendaryT-R3X$54.0877.26 coins$1,0151,449 coins18.76x
★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Factory New)gloves · legendary$54.0877.26 coins$1,0151,449 coins18.76x
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$54.0877.26 coins$8271,181 coins15.29x
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$54.0877.26 coins$8271,181 coins15.29x
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedROBO VERS$54.0877.26 coins$8271,181 coins15.29x
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$54.0877.26 coins$8271,181 coins15.29x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
AK-47 | Redline (Well-Worn)weapon · classified$54.0877.26 coins$12.5117.87 coins0.23x
AWP | Mortis (Factory New)weapon · Legendary$54.0877.26 coins$5.848.34 coins0.11x
M4A1-S | Basilisk (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$54.0877.26 coins$6.659.5 coins0.12x
AK-47 | Redline (Well-Worn)weapon · classified$54.0877.26 coins$12.5117.87 coins0.23x
M4A1-S | Basilisk (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$54.0877.26 coins$6.659.5 coins0.12x
AK-47 | Redline (Well-Worn)weapon · classifiedverso was right$54.0877.26 coins$12.5117.87 coins0.23x
AWP | Mortis (Factory New)weapon · Legendary$54.0877.26 coins$5.848.34 coins0.11x
AWP | Mortis (Factory New)weapon · Legendary$54.0877.26 coins$5.848.34 coins0.11x
M4A1-S | Basilisk (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$54.0877.26 coins$6.659.5 coins0.12x
★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$54.0877.26 coins$307439 coins5.68x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,190 (22.00x)