Fried
A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$197.18
282 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
91.67%
4,894 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$197282 coins$15.4K21,976 coins78.02x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$197282 coins$15.4K21,976 coins78.02x
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$197282 coins$11.9K16,982 coins60.29x
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$197282 coins$11.9K16,982 coins60.29x
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covertswerve$197282 coins$11.9K16,982 coins60.29x
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$197282 coins$11.9K16,982 coins60.29x
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covertPAT$197282 coins$11.9K16,982 coins60.29x
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covertRICKASHAY$197282 coins$11.9K16,982 coins60.29x
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$197282 coins$11.9K16,982 coins60.29x
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$197282 coins$11.9K16,982 coins60.29x
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$197282 coins$8.9212.74 coins0.05x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $15.4K (78.02x)