Frostbite

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$40.60
58 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
92.50%
328 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
18 openings · below min
7 days
171 openings · below min
30 days
328 openings · below min
since tracking started
328 openings · below min
2.5%124.8%247.0%

Small sample. 328 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h18124.79%±121.8—sample
7d17196.74%±17.9—sample
30d32892.50%±11.3—sample
All32892.50%±11.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Tec-9 | Decimator (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$40.6058 coins$6.489.25 coins0.16x
Tec-9 | Decimator (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$40.6058 coins$6.489.25 coins0.16x
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$40.6058 coins$52.7775.38 coins1.30x
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New)weapon · classified$40.6058 coins$7.7111.01 coins0.19x
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New)weapon · classified$40.6058 coins$7.7111.01 coins0.19x
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New)weapon · classified$40.6058 coins$7.7111.01 coins0.19x
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New)weapon · classified$40.6058 coins$7.7111.01 coins0.19x
Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$40.6058 coins$12.0217.17 coins0.30x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —