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Full Bag

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$24.08
34.4 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
91.50%
3,461 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
227 openings · below min
7 days
95.06%±16.022,445 openings
30 days
91.50%±13.033,461 openings
since tracking started
91.50%±13.033,461 openings
60.5%118.3%176.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h227118.31%±57.0—sample
7d2,44595.06%±16.0—sample
30d3,46191.50%±13.0—sample
All3,46191.50%±13.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · epic$24.0834.4 coins$1,2061,723 coins50.10x
★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · epic$24.0834.4 coins$1,2061,723 coins50.10x
★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · epic$24.0834.4 coins$1,2061,723 coins50.10x
★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · epic$24.0834.4 coins$1,2061,723 coins50.10x
★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · epic$24.0834.4 coins$1,2061,723 coins50.10x
★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · epic$24.0834.4 coins$1,2061,723 coins50.10x
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$24.0834.4 coins$9151,307 coins37.99x
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$24.0834.4 coins$9151,307 coins37.99x
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$24.0834.4 coins$9151,307 coins37.99x
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$24.0834.4 coins$9151,307 coins37.99x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
★ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$24.0834.4 coins$321459 coins13.35x
Souvenir Desert Eagle | Hand Cannon (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$24.0834.4 coins$251358 coins10.41x
M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Well-Worn)weapon · rare$24.0834.4 coins$62.4089.14 coins2.59x
Sealed Graffiti | Kiss (Brick Red)graffiti · Base Gradeshubidibap$24.0834.4 coins$0.911.3 coins0.04x
Souvenir Desert Eagle | Hand Cannon (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$24.0834.4 coins$251358 coins10.41x
Sealed Graffiti | Kiss (Brick Red)graffiti · Base Grade$24.0834.4 coins$0.911.3 coins0.04x
Sealed Graffiti | Kiss (Brick Red)graffiti · Base Grade$24.0834.4 coins$0.911.3 coins0.04x
Sealed Graffiti | Kiss (Brick Red)graffiti · Base Gradeshubidibap$24.0834.4 coins$0.911.3 coins0.04x
Sealed Graffiti | Kiss (Brick Red)graffiti · Base Grade$24.0834.4 coins$0.911.3 coins0.04x
Sealed Graffiti | Kiss (Brick Red)graffiti · Base Grade$24.0834.4 coins$0.911.3 coins0.04x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,206 (50.10x)