Galaxy

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$420.57

601 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

90.90%

172 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

8 openings · below min

7 days

166 openings · below min

30 days

172 openings · below min

since tracking started

172 openings · below min

45.0%94.0%143.0%

Small sample. 172 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	8	94.20%±48.3	—	sample
7d	166	91.06%±24.4	—	sample
30d	172	90.90%±23.7	—	sample
All	172	90.90%±23.7	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$421601 coins$6,2318,902 coins14.82x5d

★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$421601 coins$3,1684,525 coins7.53x3d

★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$421601 coins$3,1684,525 coins7.53x4d

★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert$421601 coins$1,7852,550 coins4.24x5d

★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert$421601 coins$1,1671,667 coins2.77x3d

★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert$421601 coins$1,1671,667 coins2.77x4d

★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New)knife · CovertElpassoCS$421601 coins$1,1671,667 coins2.77x5d

★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert$421601 coins$1,1671,667 coins2.77x5d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Covert$421601 coins$333476 coins0.79x1h

★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny$421601 coins$421602 coins1.00x1h

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B$421601 coins$556794 coins1.32x1h

Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Factory New)weapon · restricted$421601 coins$7.6410.91 coins0.02x1h

★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife$421601 coins$382546 coins0.91x1h

★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · CovertMr.Yodoc$421601 coins$8821,260 coins2.10x1h

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$421601 coins$579828 coins1.38x12h

Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Factory New)weapon · restrictedbradbeloved$421601 coins$7.6410.91 coins0.02x12h

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Covert$421601 coins$333476 coins0.79x1d

Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Factory New)weapon · restricted$421601 coins$7.6410.91 coins0.02x1d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $6,231 (14.82x)