Gelato

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$2,945.70
4,208 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
89.49%
116 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
24 openings · below min
30 days
116 openings · below min
since tracking started
116 openings · below min
7.0%65.0%123.0%

Small sample. 116 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h655.31%±47.8—sample
7d2456.03%±19.2—sample
30d11689.49%±32.8—sample
All11689.49%±32.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · covert$2,9464,208 coins$54.7K78,119 coins18.56x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New)weapon · coverterd$2,9464,208 coins$13.3K19,027 coins4.52x
M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear)weapon · contraband$2,9464,208 coins$6,0278,611 coins2.05x
M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear)weapon · contraband$2,9464,208 coins$6,0278,611 coins2.05x
M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear)weapon · contraband$2,9464,208 coins$6,0278,611 coins2.05x
M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear)weapon · contraband$2,9464,208 coins$6,0278,611 coins2.05x
M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear)weapon · contraband$2,9464,208 coins$6,0278,611 coins2.05x
M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear)weapon · contraband$2,9464,208 coins$6,0278,611 coins2.05x
M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear)weapon · contraband$2,9464,208 coins$6,0278,611 coins2.05x
M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear)weapon · contraband$2,9464,208 coins$6,0278,611 coins2.05x

Latest dropsnewest first

AK-47 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$2,9464,208 coins$9701,386 coins0.33x
AWP | Medusa (Factory New)weapon · covert$2,9464,208 coins$5,1277,325 coins1.74x
AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)weapon · covert$2,9464,208 coins$9661,380 coins0.33x
AWP | Desert Hydra (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$2,9464,208 coins$1,5982,283 coins0.54x
AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)weapon · covert$2,9464,208 coins$9661,380 coins0.33x
AK-47 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$2,9464,208 coins$1,7952,564 coins0.61x
AK-47 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$2,9464,208 coins$9701,386 coins0.33x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $54.7K (18.56x)