Get Lucky

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$7.66
10.94 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
88.85%
32K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
124.88%±32.023,712 openings
7 days
89.89%±7.8026K openings
30 days
88.85%±6.8532K openings
since tracking started
88.85%±6.8532K openings
81.5%119.5%157.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h3,712124.88%±32.0—sample
7d26K89.89%±7.80—sample
30d32K88.85%±6.85—sample
All32K88.85%±6.85—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$7.6610.94 coins$1,9872,839 coins259.5x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$7.6610.94 coins$1,9872,839 coins259.5x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$7.6610.94 coins$1,9872,839 coins259.5x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$7.6610.94 coins$1,9872,839 coins259.5x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$7.6610.94 coins$1,9872,839 coins259.5x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$7.6610.94 coins$1,9872,839 coins259.5x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$7.6610.94 coins$1,9872,839 coins259.5x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$7.6610.94 coins$1,9872,839 coins259.5x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$7.6610.94 coins$1,9872,839 coins259.5x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$7.6610.94 coins$1,9872,839 coins259.5x

Latest dropsnewest first

AWP | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Uncommon$7.6610.94 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Uncommon$7.6610.94 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Uncommon$7.6610.94 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Uncommon$7.6610.94 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Uncommon$7.6610.94 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Uncommon$7.6610.94 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Uncommon$7.6610.94 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Uncommon$7.6610.94 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,987 (259.5x)