Ghouls

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$98.00
140 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
101.92%
352 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
4 openings · below min
7 days
295 openings · below min
30 days
352 openings · below min
since tracking started
352 openings · below min
-0.5%63.5%127.5%

Small sample. 352 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h411.26%±17.3—sample
7d295101.90%±25.2—sample
30d352101.92%±23.0—sample
All352101.92%±23.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Negev | Mjölnir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$98.00140 coins$1,0261,466 coins10.47x
Negev | Mjölnir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$98.00140 coins$1,0261,466 coins10.47x
★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert$98.00140 coins$8071,153 coins8.24x
★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert$98.00140 coins$8071,153 coins8.24x
★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert$98.00140 coins$8071,153 coins8.24x

Latest dropsnewest first

XM1014 | Red Leather (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare$98.00140 coins$36.9952.84 coins0.38x
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Isaac (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Rare$98.00140 coins$2.393.41 coins0.02x
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Isaac (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Rare$98.00140 coins$2.393.41 coins0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,194 (12.18x)