Graduation
A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$17.52
25.03 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
98.16%
1,848 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
M4A4 | Global Offensive (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$17.5225.03 coins$25.5536.5 coins1.46x
StatTrak™ AWP | Exoskeleton (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$17.5225.03 coins$33.0747.24 coins1.89x
Souvenir Galil AR | Dusk Ruins (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec GradeBig yahu$17.5225.03 coins$2.834.04 coins0.16x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$17.5225.03 coins$11.6316.62 coins0.66x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit —