Grass Greener

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$209.93
300 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
104.28%
108 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
20 openings · below min
7 days
74 openings · below min
30 days
108 openings · below min
since tracking started
108 openings · below min
50.0%90.5%131.0%

Small sample. 108 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2076.17%±25.3—sample
7d7497.68%±24.9—sample
30d108104.28%±25.9—sample
All108104.28%±25.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700$210300 coins$1,7152,450 coins8.17x
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700$210300 coins$1,7152,450 coins8.17x
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700$210300 coins$1,7152,450 coins8.17x

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,715 (8.17x)