Grim

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$264.18
377 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
83.30%
1,820 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
476 openings · below min
7 days
84.08%±11.841,591 openings
30 days
83.30%±11.491,820 openings
since tracking started
83.30%±11.491,820 openings
52.0%74.3%96.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h47668.47%±15.9—sample
7d1,59184.08%±11.8—sample
30d1,82083.30%±11.5—sample
All1,82083.30%±11.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New)weapon · covert$264377 coins$11.3K16,158 coins42.81x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New)weapon · covert$264377 coins$11.3K16,158 coins42.81x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New)weapon · covert$264377 coins$11.3K16,158 coins42.81x
M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)weapon · contraband$264377 coins$5,8968,424 coins22.32x
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$264377 coins$3,7025,289 coins14.01x
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$264377 coins$3,7025,289 coins14.01x
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$264377 coins$3,7025,289 coins14.01x
M4A4 | Howl (Well-Worn)weapon · contraband$264377 coins$3,3464,780 coins12.67x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Grim (Gold) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Extraordinary$264377 coins$1.572.24 coins0.01x
Sticker | Grim (Gold) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Extraordinary$264377 coins$1.572.24 coins0.01x
Sticker | Grim (Gold) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Extraordinary$264377 coins$1.572.24 coins0.01x
Sticker | Grim (Gold) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Extraordinary$264377 coins$1.572.24 coins0.01x
Sticker | Grim (Gold) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Extraordinary$264377 coins$1.572.24 coins0.01x
Sticker | Grim (Gold) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Extraordinary$264377 coins$1.572.24 coins0.01x
Sticker | Grim (Gold) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Extraordinary$264377 coins$1.572.24 coins0.01x
Sticker | Crown (Foil)sticker · exotic$264377 coins$614877 coins2.32x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $11.3K (42.81x)