Handle with Care
A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$228.41
326 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
86.67%
194 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 194 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$228326 coins$1,3901,985 coins6.08x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Black PearlSmabu$228326 coins$9731,390 coins4.26x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Black Pearl$228326 coins$9731,390 coins4.26x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Black Pearldeneb7$228326 coins$9731,390 coins4.26x
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinarySmabu$228326 coins$7371,052 coins3.22x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$228326 coins$138197 coins0.60x
★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$228326 coins$138197 coins0.60x
★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinaryHiccupplayz$228326 coins$145207 coins0.64x
★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$228326 coins$138197 coins0.60x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $1,390 (6.08x)