Headed
A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$28.33
40.47 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
101.13%
9,458 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Sticker | Clan-Mystik (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$28.3340.47 coins$25.5K36,427 coins900.1x
Sticker | Clan-Mystik (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$28.3340.47 coins$25.5K36,427 coins900.1x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert$28.3340.47 coins$1,5852,264 coins55.95x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife$28.3340.47 coins$121173 coins4.28x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $25.5K (900.1x)