Price
$51.39
73.42 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
88.43%
1,046 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$51.3973.42 coins$2,4533,505 coins47.74x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Covert$51.3973.42 coins$1,7642,520 coins34.33x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)knife · covert · Phase 1$51.3973.42 coins$1,4712,101 coins28.62x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)knife · covert · Phase 1$51.3973.42 coins$1,4712,101 coins28.62x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)knife · covert · Phase 1$51.3973.42 coins$1,4712,101 coins28.62x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$51.3973.42 coins$8521,217 coins16.57x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $2,453 (47.74x)