High Roller

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1,476.59
2,109 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
101.78%
47 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
19 openings · below min
30 days
47 openings · below min
since tracking started
47 openings · below min
41.5%194.8%348.0%

Small sample. 47 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d19214.46%±132.7—sample
30d47101.78%±59.6—sample
All47101.78%±59.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New)weapon · legendary$1,4772,109 coins$12.1K17,239 coins8.17x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New)weapon · legendary$1,4772,109 coins$12.1K17,239 coins8.17x
AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert$1,4772,109 coins$11.4K16,238 coins7.70x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$1,4772,109 coins$6,1538,790 coins4.17x
AWP | Medusa (Factory New)weapon · covert$1,4772,109 coins$5,4157,736 coins3.67x
AWP | Medusa (Factory New)weapon · covert$1,4772,109 coins$5,4157,736 coins3.67x
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covertswerve$1,4772,109 coins$2,8344,048 coins1.92x
Negev | Mjölnir (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$1,4772,109 coins$2,4073,439 coins1.63x
AWP | The Prince (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$1,4772,109 coins$1,8512,645 coins1.25x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$1,4772,109 coins$1,2471,782 coins0.84x

Latest dropsnewest first

AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New)weapon · legendary$1,4772,109 coins$12.1K17,239 coins8.17x
Sticker | rain (Gold) | Katowice 2019sticker · extraordinary$1,4772,109 coins$89.82128 coins0.06x
AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$1,4772,109 coins$9391,342 coins0.64x
★ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$1,4772,109 coins$217309 coins0.15x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$1,4772,109 coins$6,1538,790 coins4.17x
★ Bayonet | Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$1,4772,109 coins$566809 coins0.38x
Sticker | rain (Gold) | Katowice 2019sticker · extraordinary$1,4772,109 coins$89.82128 coins0.06x
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covertswerve$1,4772,109 coins$2,8344,048 coins1.92x
Sticker | rain (Gold) | Katowice 2019sticker · extraordinary$1,4772,109 coins$89.82128 coins0.06x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $12.1K (8.17x)