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High Stakes

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1,190.88
1,701 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
101.31%
110 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
4 openings · below min
7 days
78 openings · below min
30 days
110 openings · below min
since tracking started
110 openings · below min
-0.5%284.8%570.0%

Small sample. 110 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h4202.98%±366.6—sample
7d78104.97%±47.5—sample
30d110101.31%±39.0—sample
All110101.31%±39.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert$1,1911,701 coins$11.4K16,238 coins9.54x
AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert$1,1911,701 coins$11.4K16,238 coins9.54x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$1,1911,701 coins$9,09612,995 coins7.64x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$1,1911,701 coins$9,09612,995 coins7.64x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$1,1911,701 coins$9,09612,995 coins7.64x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertKennyP$1,1911,701 coins$9,09612,995 coins7.64x
M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)weapon · contrabandswerve$1,1911,701 coins$5,8968,424 coins4.95x
M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)weapon · contraband$1,1911,701 coins$5,8968,424 coins4.95x
M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)weapon · contrabandKennyP$1,1911,701 coins$5,8968,424 coins4.95x
M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)weapon · contraband$1,1911,701 coins$5,8968,424 coins4.95x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$1,1911,701 coins$9,09612,995 coins7.64x
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$1,1911,701 coins$91.03130 coins0.08x
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$1,1911,701 coins$91.03130 coins0.08x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knifediganiga$1,1911,701 coins$391558 coins0.33x
Souvenir Desert Eagle | Hand Cannon (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted$1,1911,701 coins$171245 coins0.14x
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$1,1911,701 coins$91.03130 coins0.08x
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$1,1911,701 coins$91.03130 coins0.08x
Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted$1,1911,701 coins$1,4122,018 coins1.19x
P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New)weapon · classified$1,1911,701 coins$492703 coins0.41x
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$1,1911,701 coins$91.03130 coins0.08x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $11.4K (9.54x)