Hooked

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$78.53
112 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
85.45%
485 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
340 openings · below min
30 days
485 openings · below min
since tracking started
485 openings · below min
52.0%383.5%715.0%

Small sample. 485 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h6383.45%±331.0—sample
7d34080.02%±16.1—sample
30d48585.45%±13.9—sample
All48585.45%±13.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint (Factory New)gloves · legendary$78.53112 coins$8201,171 coins10.44x
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$78.53112 coins$7321,046 coins9.32x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$78.53112 coins$553790 coins7.04x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$78.53112 coins$553790 coins7.04x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$78.53112 coins$553790 coins7.04x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$78.53112 coins$553790 coins7.04x
M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$78.53112 coins$532760 coins6.77x

Latest dropsnewest first

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint (Factory New)gloves · legendary$78.53112 coins$8201,171 coins10.44x
★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd700$78.53112 coins$225322 coins2.87x
★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$78.53112 coins$142203 coins1.81x
P250 | Apep's Curse (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink$78.53112 coins$66.4294.88 coins0.85x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $820 (10.44x)