Hoops

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$20.40
29.14 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
81.45%
20.1K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
62.64%±17.072,411 openings
7 days
79.92%±8.8314.6K openings
30 days
81.45%±7.5520.1K openings
since tracking started
81.45%±7.5520.1K openings
45.0%67.3%89.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2,41162.64%±17.1—sample
7d14.6K79.92%±8.83—sample
30d20.1K81.45%±7.55—sample
All20.1K81.45%±7.55—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$20.4029.14 coins$2,1113,016 coins103.5x
AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$20.4029.14 coins$1,9432,776 coins95.27x
AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$20.4029.14 coins$1,9432,776 coins95.27x
AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$20.4029.14 coins$1,9432,776 coins95.27x
AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · coverteLectRo-$20.4029.14 coins$1,9432,776 coins95.27x
AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$20.4029.14 coins$1,9432,776 coins95.27x
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$20.4029.14 coins$1,8202,599 coins89.21x
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$20.4029.14 coins$1,8202,599 coins89.21x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (SWAT Blue)graffiti · Base Grade$20.4029.14 coins$0.050.07 coins0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (SWAT Blue)graffiti · Base Grade$20.4029.14 coins$0.050.07 coins0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (SWAT Blue)graffiti · Base Grade$20.4029.14 coins$0.050.07 coins0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (SWAT Blue)graffiti · Base Grade$20.4029.14 coins$0.050.07 coins0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (SWAT Blue)graffiti · Base Grade$20.4029.14 coins$0.050.07 coins0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (SWAT Blue)graffiti · Base Grade$20.4029.14 coins$0.050.07 coins0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (SWAT Blue)graffiti · Base Grade$20.4029.14 coins$0.050.07 coins0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (SWAT Blue)graffiti · Base Grade$20.4029.14 coins$0.050.07 coins0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (SWAT Blue)graffiti · Base Grade$20.4029.14 coins$0.050.07 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,472 (121.2x)