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imspencerrr

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$35.92
51.31 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
98.66%
1,691 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
90 openings · below min
7 days
100.98%±24.521,388 openings
30 days
98.66%±22.641,691 openings
since tracking started
98.66%±22.641,691 openings
39.5%82.8%126.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h9075.02%±34.7—sample
7d1,388100.98%±24.5—sample
30d1,69198.66%±22.6—sample
All1,69198.66%±22.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$35.9251.31 coins$3,1134,447 coins86.67x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$35.9251.31 coins$3,1134,447 coins86.67x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearlrile magic$35.9251.31 coins$3,1134,447 coins86.67x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$35.9251.31 coins$3,1134,447 coins86.67x
★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · legendary$35.9251.31 coins$1,4672,096 coins40.85x
★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · legendary$35.9251.31 coins$1,4672,096 coins40.85x
★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · legendary$35.9251.31 coins$1,4672,096 coins40.85x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Sticker | Adepta Sororitassticker · High Grade$35.9251.31 coins$0.500.71 coins0.01x
Sticker | Adepta Sororitassticker · High Grade$35.9251.31 coins$0.500.71 coins0.01x
M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$35.9251.31 coins$70.92101 coins1.97x
Sticker | Adepta Sororitassticker · High Grade$35.9251.31 coins$0.500.71 coins0.01x
M4A4 | Daybreak (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted$35.9251.31 coins$199284 coins5.53x
Sticker | Adepta Sororitassticker · High Grade^Kajuha^$35.9251.31 coins$0.500.71 coins0.01x
M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)weapon · covert$35.9251.31 coins$33.5147.87 coins0.93x
M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)weapon · covert$35.9251.31 coins$33.5147.87 coins0.93x
Sticker | Adepta Sororitassticker · High Grade$35.9251.31 coins$0.500.71 coins0.01x
Sticker | Adepta Sororitassticker · High Grade$35.9251.31 coins$0.500.71 coins0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $3,113 (86.67x)